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The market should peak within three weeks

" If the duration of the current rally were to take the same portion of its ruling cycle that the 1929-1930 rally did, when would it end? The 1929-1930 rally lasted 155 days out of 968 in the cycle (1932 was a leap year), for a ratio of 0.1601. The 16.6-16.9-year span ends between February 19 and June 9, 2016. Applying the 0.1601 ratio to this period of 2541-2652 days from the March 6, 2009 low would give rally durations of 406.81-424.59 days, suggesting a peak in the current rally between April 16 and May 5. Using intraday turning dates projects exactly the same range. As Beautiful Pictures shows, time targeting usually works out to within 3 days. With April 14 already behind us and May 8 a Saturday, we can project a top on this basis between April 15 and may 7, 2010. April 16, by the way, marks the anniversary of the 1930 rally peak. These dates pertain only if the current rally matches its predecessor in percent-of-cycle terms, which is conjecture, but given all the other evid...

from industrial capitalism to financial capitalism

Credit cards have been only one piece of the historically massive shift in the organization of our economy, and thus of our society, from industrial capitalism to financial capitalism . Nixon's ending of the gold standard in 1971 was another indicator of that shift. (Conservatives today rant about the shift from "real" money to "fiat" money, instead of focussing on the perversion of capitalism that widespread credit and over-expanded financial markets constitute. Socialists rant about the loss of connection between money and its real basis, labor, but only sometimes concern themselves with the social compact at the root of all social order and its necessary concommitants, interpersonal trust and the interpersonal infrastructure that is social capital. These are matters of economic philosophy that are really worth getting your heads around because they are at the root of the crisis of Western civilization. But as with all crisis-cores, they are heavily masked by...

Interrogating The Peninsular Individual: A Sketch of A Presentation

Interrogating The Peninsular Individual: A Rumination on The Dialectical Relationship Constituting Individual Minds and Group Mind • Rubinoff: Art is the map of the human soul; each original piece is proof of the journey. As the artist navigates the unknown, the art adds to the collective memory. Art has been liberated to address the internal, intuitive reality of the collective human memory. Art is truth by metaphor. Call for Papers - Jeffrey Rubinoff Sculpture Park • John Donne: No man is an Iland, intire of itselfe; every man is a peece of the continent, a part of the maine; if a Clod be washed away by the sea, Europe is the lesse, as well as if a Promontorie were, as well as if a Mannor of thy friends or of thine own were; any man's death diminishes me, because I am involved in Mankind; and therefore never send to know for whom the bell tolls; it tolls for thee. Devotions upon Emergent Occasions (1624), No. XVII • George Lakoff & Mark ...

Witty cultural incongruity

Bitches Aint Shit A Capella This music video confronts "hostile black misgynothropic" music with a music style more usually associated with sacred music, even "Eurocentric white" music. A good example of the currently popular transgressive style in art and interpersonal signification.

Impeach Cheney

Doing the Deportation Rag

The 12 million illegals here is twice the number of Jews generally considered to have been murdered by the Nazis. A major reason for the creation of the death camps was the enormous organizational difficulty of forcibly emigrating 6 million persons. (Cf., the documents and publications pertaining to the trial of Adolf Eichmann. E.g., Hannah Arendt, "Eichmann in Jerusalem.") The Diary of Anne Frank is one story of Christians hiding Jews to prevent them from being rounded up. It is not the only such case. The Underground Railway is what the informally organized opponents of slavery in America called the smuggling of slaves north to freedom prior to the Civil War. Does no one who claims to be in favor of deporting the 12 million have any imagination at all?!! The failure of critical thinking exhibted by the pro-deporters is astounding! The disruption of American society that would result from attempting such a massive inhumane project would be enormous. Not only the economic dep...

An exchange with a student on the US Army of Occupation

Judd: I have a friend who was in Desert Storm and he is adamant that we should not be providing the policing function that we are now. He saw first hand just how good we are at waging war and how difficult it is to provide the ongoing security function in a post war environment. It seems that if our military has a clear, definable objective, it functions very well. But when the objective gets muddled, as it does with security/policing of a populace, then it doesn't do so well. The increasing influence of Iraqi politics seems to be eroding our already limited ability to provide the policing/security functions. ------------ Jerry: The US military is now an occupation force in Iraq. The functions of an army of occupation are vastly different than the functions of an army of conquest. Consequently, both the structure and the organizational culture of the occupation units must be extremely different from the structure and organizational culture of the conquering units. To pretend that t...